AFC Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 5, 2025 at 10am UK
NOEVIR Stadium Kobe

Vissel Kobe
2 - 0
Gwangju

Osako (20'), Ide (29')
Osako (13')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Jin (79')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Round of 16 clash between Vissel Kobe and Gwangju.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, March 1 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 58.31%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Gwangju had a probability of 18.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Gwangju win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.

Result
Vissel KobeDrawGwangju
58.31% (0.097999999999999 0.1)23.65% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)18.04% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Both teams to score 46.53% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.05% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)52.95% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.44% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)74.55% (0.018999999999991 0.02)
Vissel Kobe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.07% (0.023999999999987 0.02)17.93% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.26% (0.042999999999999 0.04)48.74% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Gwangju Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.7% (-0.109 -0.11)43.3% (0.107 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.46% (-0.09 -0.09)79.54% (0.088000000000008 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Vissel Kobe 58.3%
    Gwangju 18.04%
    Draw 23.64%
Vissel KobeDrawGwangju
1-0 @ 13.34% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 11.46% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.57% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.82% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.36% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 58.3%
1-1 @ 11.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.76% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.02% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 23.64%
0-1 @ 6.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.67% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.72% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.3% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 18.04%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Vissel Kobe
rhs 2.0


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