Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 47.05%. A win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest Tokyo Verdy win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vissel Kobe in this match.

Result
Tokyo Verdy	Draw	Vissel Kobe
26.51% ( -0.13)	26.44% ( 0.04)	47.05% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 48.88% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.79% (

-0.22)

55.21% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.56% (

-0.18)

76.44% (

0.18)

Tokyo Verdy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.86% (

-0.23)

36.14% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.08% (

-0.23)

72.92% (

0.23)

Vissel Kobe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.54% (

-0.05)

23.46% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.53% (

-0.07)

57.47% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Tokyo Verdy 26.51%

Vissel Kobe 47.05%

Draw 26.43%

Tokyo Verdy	Draw	Vissel Kobe
1-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.91% Total : 26.51%	1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.43%	0-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.07% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.91% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.38% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.56% ( 0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 47.05%