J1 League | Gameweek 6

Mar 15, 2025 at 5am UK

Ajinomoto Stadium

Tokyo Verdy
2 - 1
Nagoya Grampus

Yamami (63', 63'), Tsunashima (73', 73')
Tsunashima (40'), Tsunashima (40')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Morishima (21', 21')
Morishima (88'), Morishima (88')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Tokyo Verdy and Nagoya Grampus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tokyo Verdy

All competitions

Last Game: Albirex Niigata 2-2 Tokyo Verdy
Saturday, March 8 at 5.05am in J1 League

Goals
for

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions

Last Game: Cerezo 1-1 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, March 8 at 7am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Tokyo Verdy win was 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Tokyo Verdy	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
34.61% ( -0.03)	26.86% ( 0.01)	38.53% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 51.24% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.09% (

-0.04)

53.9% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.64% (

-0.03)

75.35% (

0.03)

Tokyo Verdy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.41% (

-0.04)

29.58% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.38% (

-0.05)

65.61% (

0.04)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.76% (

-0.01)

27.23% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.34% (

-0.01)

62.65% (

Score Analysis

Tokyo Verdy 34.61%

Nagoya Grampus 38.52%

Draw 26.86%

Tokyo Verdy	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 9.81% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.98% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.43% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 34.61%	1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.86%	0-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.3% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.6% 0-3 @ 2.96% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 38.52%