J1 League | Gameweek 5

Mar 8, 2025 at 7am UK

KINCHO Stadium

Cerezo
1 - 1
Nagoya Grampus

Kitano (45+4', 45+4')
Takahashi Cendagorta (77'), Takahashi Cendagorta (77'), Noborizato (90+5'), Noborizato (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Mateus (85', 85')
Izumi (33'), Izumi (33'), Mateus (37'), Mateus (37')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Nagoya Grampus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions

Last Game: Albirex Niigata 2-2 Cerezo
Sunday, March 2 at 5am in J1 League

Goals
for

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions

Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-2 Machida Zelvia
Sunday, March 2 at 5am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
40.71% ( -0.97)	26.2% ( 0.63)	33.08% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 53.02% (

-1.95)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.51% (

-2.56)

51.48% (

2.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.71% (

-2.27)

73.29% (

2.27)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.06% (

-1.63)

24.94% (

1.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.42% (

-2.32)

59.57% (

2.32)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.64% (

-1.04)

29.36% (

1.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.66% (

-1.29)

65.34% (

1.29)

Score Analysis

Cerezo Osaka 40.7%

Nagoya Grampus 33.09%

Draw 26.2%

Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.55) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.28) 3-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.25) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.57% Total : 40.7%	1-1 @ 12.46% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.72) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.27) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.2%	0-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.65) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.49% Total : 33.09%