J1 League | Gameweek 15

May 6, 2025 at 8am UK

SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium

Reysol
1 - 0
Shimizu S-Pulse

Kakita (52')
Inukai (31'), Yamada (75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Uno (19')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kashiwa Reysol and Shimizu S-Pulse.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kashiwa Reysol

All competitions

Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-2 Reysol
Tuesday, April 29 at 6am in J1 League

Goals
for

Shimizu S-Pulse

All competitions

Last Game: Shimizu S-Pulse 0-3 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Shimizu S-Pulse win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kashiwa Reysol in this match.

Result
Kashiwa Reysol	Draw	Shimizu S-Pulse
40.79% ( 0.11)	26.76% ( 0.03)	32.45% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 51.07% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.09% (

-0.15)

53.9% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.64% (

-0.13)

75.36% (

0.13)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74% (

-0.01)

26% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.98% (

-0.02)

61.02% (

0.02)

Shimizu S-Pulse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.01% (

-0.17)

30.99% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.7% (

-0.2)

67.3% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Kashiwa Reysol 40.78%

Shimizu S-Pulse 32.45%

Draw 26.76%

Kashiwa Reysol	Draw	Shimizu S-Pulse
1-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 40.78%	1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.76%	0-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.01% Total : 32.45%