J1 League | Gameweek 14
May 3, 2025 at 6am UK
Grenada National Stadium

Shimizu S-Pulse
0 - 3
Nagoya Grampus


Kitagawa (62'), Kitagawa (62')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Inagaki (36', 36'), Izumi (48', 48'), Shiihashi (50', 50')
Sato (33'), Sato (33')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Shimizu S-Pulse and Nagoya Grampus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Tokyo 0-2 Shimizu S-Pulse
Tuesday, April 29 at 5.05am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-2 Reysol
Tuesday, April 29 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shimizu S-Pulse win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shimizu S-Pulse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Shimizu S-PulseDrawNagoya Grampus
37.64% (-0.303 -0.3)28.09% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)34.27% (0.335 0.34)
Both teams to score 47.41% (0.138 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.32% (0.157 0.16)58.68% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.78% (0.121 0.12)79.22% (-0.124 -0.12)
Shimizu S-Pulse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.93% (-0.107 -0.11)30.06% (0.105 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.8% (-0.128 -0.13)66.2% (0.125 0.13)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.8% (0.301 0.3)32.2% (-0.303 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.31% (0.341 0.34)68.69% (-0.342 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Shimizu S-Pulse 37.63%
    Nagoya Grampus 34.27%
    Draw 28.09%
Shimizu S-PulseDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 11.63% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 7.92% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.99% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.8% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 37.63%
1-1 @ 13.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.68% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 28.09%
0-1 @ 10.97% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.47% (0.058 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.22% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.82% (0.045 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.35% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.7% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 34.27%

Head to Head
Jul 10, 2022 10am
Gameweek 21
Nagoya Grampus
0-2
Shimizu S-Pulse

Yoshida (88')
Nishizawa (38'), Thiago (90+5')
Katayama (90+7')
May 21, 2022 6am
Aug 29, 2021 10am
May 15, 2021 6am
Gameweek 14
Shimizu S-Pulse
0-3
Nagoya Grampus

Elsinho (30'), Valdo (40'), Okui (60')
Kakitani (24'), Mateus (50', 89')
Sep 26, 2020 6am
Gameweek 28
Nagoya Grampus
3-1
Shimizu S-Pulse
Abe (2'), Maeda (25'), Maruyama (74')
Carlinhos (88')
Augusto (77')