Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shimizu S-Pulse win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shimizu S-Pulse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.