J1 League | Gameweek 11

Apr 20, 2025 at 6am UK

Minato Soccer Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
2 - 1
Hiroshima

Mateus (40', 40', 48', 48')
Mateus (41'), Mateus (41'), Nagai (70'), Nagai (70')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Suga (81', 81')
Nakano (64'), Nakano (64')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions

Last Game: Gamba Osaka 2-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, April 12 at 6am in J1 League

Goals
for

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

All competitions

Last Game: Hiroshima 0-1 Okayama
Saturday, April 12 at 6am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 49.31%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 25.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 1-0 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Nagoya Grampus	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
25.29% ( 0.33)	25.4% ( 0.19)	49.31% ( -0.51)

Both teams to score 50.9% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.94% (

-0.5)

52.06% (

0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.21% (

-0.43)

73.79% (

0.44)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.54% (

0.01)

35.46% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.77% (

0.01)

72.23% (

-0)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.87% (

-0.42)

21.13% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.02% (

-0.66)

53.98% (

0.66)

Score Analysis

Nagoya Grampus 25.29%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 49.3%

Draw 25.39%

Nagoya Grampus	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) Other @ 2% Total : 25.29%	1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.39%	0-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.39% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 9.05% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.86% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 4.69% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.46% Total : 49.3%