Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 38%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.

Result
Gamba Osaka	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
38% ( -0.04)	25.97% ( -0.01)	36.03% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 54.32% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.95% (

0.06)

50.05% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.97% (

0.05)

72.02% (

-0.05)

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.27% (

0.01)

25.73% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.34% (

0.01)

60.66% (

-0.01)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.14% (

0.05)

26.86% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.84% (

0.07)

62.16% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Gamba Osaka 38%

Nagoya Grampus 36.03%

Draw 25.97%

Gamba Osaka	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.79% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 38%	1-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.97%	0-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.97% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 3.11% Total : 36.03%