J1 League Gameweek 10
Apr 12, 2025 6.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Suita City Football Stadium
  • Issam Jebali 63' goal
  • Issam Jebali 63' goal
  • Ryoya Yamashita 76' goal
  • Ryoya Yamashita 76' goal
  • yellowcard Yuki Nogami 33'
  • yellowcard Yuki Nogami 33'
  • yellowcard Masahito Ono 36'
  • yellowcard Masahito Ono 36'

Gamba Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gamba Osaka

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2025 7.00am
Reysol 1 - 0 Gamba Osaka
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Issam Jebali

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2025 7.00am
Shonan Bellmare 2 - 1 Nagoya Grampus
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Sho Inagaki

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 38%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.

Result

Gamba Osaka 38% (-0.04)
Draw 25.97% (-0.02)
Nagoya Grampus 36.03% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.32% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.95% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 50.05% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 27.97% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 72.02% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 13.29% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 86.7% (-0.04)

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 74.27% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 25.73% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 39.34% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 60.66% (-0.02)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5 73.14% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 26.86% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 37.84% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 62.16% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Gamba Osaka 38%
Draw 25.97%
Nagoya Grampus 36.03%
Gamba Osaka
1-0 @ 9.38% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.37% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.37% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.88% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.49% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 38%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.33% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.91% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.5% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.97%
Nagoya Grampus
0-1 @ 9.09% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.11% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.97% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.55% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.62% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.41% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.17% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 36.03%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 35
Oct 23, 2024 11.00am
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT National Olympic Stadium
  • Isa Sakamoto 21' goal
  • Isa Sakamoto 28' goal
  • Yuya Fukuda 78' goal
  • goal Ha Chang-Rae 5'
  • goal Haruki Yoshida 56'
J1 League Gameweek 13
May 11, 2024 8.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Minato Soccer Stadium
  • Ha Chang-Rae 51' yellowcard
  • Chang-rae Ha 52' yellowcard
  • goal Takeru Kishimoto 67'
J1 League Gameweek 30
Oct 21, 2023 6.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Nishigaoka National Stadium
  • Kwon Kyung-won 52' yellowcard
  • Yuki Yamamoto 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Takuji Yonemoto 23'
  • goal Haruya Fujii 26'
J1 League Gameweek 12
May 6, 2023 11.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Nagoya Mizuho Athletic Stadium
  • Sho Inagaki 67' goal
J1 League Gameweek 27
Aug 27, 2022 10.00am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Patric 3'
  • yellowcard Ryotaro Meshino 27'
  • goal Musashi Suzuki 87'
J1 League Gameweek 6
Apr 2, 2022 6.00am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Patric 26' goal
  • Kazuya Miyahara 54' goal
  • Keisuke Kurokawa 62' goal
  • goal Keiya Sento 83'