Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 42.65%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.58%) and 1-2 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.2%), while for a Shimizu S-Pulse win it was 1-0 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.