J1 League | Gameweek 11

Apr 20, 2025 at 6am UK

Iwagin Stadium

Shimizu S-Pulse
3 - 1
Avispa Fukuoka

Kai (3', 3', 45+5', 45+5'), Bueno (45+2', 45+2')
Kitagawa (17'), Kitagawa (17'), Bueno (39'), Bueno (39'), Oki (82'), Oki (82')

FT(HT: 6-2)

Miki (9' pen., 9' pen.)
Maejima (38'), Maejima (38')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Shimizu S-Pulse and Avispa Fukuoka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shimizu S-Pulse

All competitions

Last Game: Yokohama 2-3 Shimizu S-Pulse
Wednesday, April 16 at 11am in J1 League

Goals
for

Avispa Fukuoka

All competitions

Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 Yokohama
Saturday, April 12 at 6am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 42.65%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.58%) and 1-2 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.2%), while for a Shimizu S-Pulse win it was 1-0 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Shimizu S-Pulse	Draw	Avispa Fukuoka
28.4% ( 0.13)	28.94% ( -0.03)	42.65% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 43.27% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.06% (

0.14)

62.94% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.57% (

0.1)

82.42% (

-0.1)

Shimizu S-Pulse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.17% (

0.19)

38.82% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.44% (

0.18)

75.55% (

-0.18)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.74% (

0.01)

29.26% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.78% (

0.01)

65.22% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Shimizu S-Pulse 28.4%

Avispa Fukuoka 42.65%

Draw 28.92%

Shimizu S-Pulse	Draw	Avispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 10.74% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.54% Total : 28.4%	1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 11.35% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.92%	0-1 @ 13.96% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 8.58% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 1.48% Total : 42.65%