Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 0-1 (11.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Avispa Fukuoka in this match.