J1 League | Gameweek 8
Apr 2, 2025 at 11am UK
Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata
0 - 1
Avispa Fukuoka

FT(HT: 0-0)
Tashiro (60')
Kitajima (77')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and Avispa Fukuoka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Albirex Niigata

All competitions
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 3-3 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, March 29 at 5am in J1 League

Avispa Fukuoka

All competitions
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 2-2 Machida Zelvia
Saturday, March 29 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 40.78%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Avispa Fukuoka in this match.

Result
Albirex NiigataDrawAvispa Fukuoka
32% (0.124 0.12)27.22% (0.019000000000002 0.02)40.78% (-0.139 -0.14)
Both teams to score 49.51% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.18% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)55.82% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.06% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)76.94% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.72% (0.067999999999998 0.07)32.28% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.22% (0.074999999999999 0.07)68.78% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.11% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)26.89% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.79% (-0.12 -0.12)62.21% (0.124 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Albirex Niigata 32%
    Avispa Fukuoka 40.78%
    Draw 27.22%
Albirex NiigataDrawAvispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 9.81% (0.032 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.29% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.55% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.75% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.09% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 32%
1-1 @ 12.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.68% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.22%
0-1 @ 11.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.47% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.49% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.71% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.28% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.22% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.08% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 40.78%

Head to Head
Aug 17, 2024 11.30am
Gameweek 27
Avispa Fukuoka
0-1
Albirex Niigata
Taniguchi (49')
May 25, 2024 8am
Gameweek 16
Albirex Niigata
1-2
Avispa Fukuoka
Hayakawa (90+3')
Mae (37'), Konno (85')
Inoue (34'), Grolli (76')
Aug 18, 2023 11am
Gameweek 24
Avispa Fukuoka
0-1
Albirex Niigata

Ideguchi (45+1'), Nara (90+3')
Maejima (19' og.)
Akiyama (6'), Watanabe (38'), Arai (54')
Apr 15, 2023 6am
Gameweek 8
Albirex Niigata
3-2
Avispa Fukuoka