Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.