Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 47.53%. A win for Fagiano Okayama had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Fagiano Okayama win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Fagiano Okayama	Draw	Yokohama F Marinos
29.47% ( -0.19)	22.99% ( 0.02)	47.53% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 62.37% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.49% (

-0.2)

38.51% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.19% (

-0.21)

60.81% (

0.21)

Fagiano Okayama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.73% (

-0.22)

25.27% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.97% (

-0.3)

60.03% (

0.3)

Yokohama F Marinos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.46% (

-0.01)

16.54% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.7% (

-0.02)

46.29% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Fagiano Okayama 29.48%

Yokohama F Marinos 47.53%

Draw 22.98%

Fagiano Okayama	Draw	Yokohama F Marinos
2-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.52% Total : 29.48%	1-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.98%	1-2 @ 9.31% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 5.58% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.51% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 3.49% Total : 47.53%