Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 50.29%. A win for Shanghai Port had a probability of 28.25% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.16%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Shanghai Port win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.