J1 League | Gameweek 12

Apr 25, 2025 at 11am UK

Kashima Soccer Stadium

Kashima Antlers
1 - 0
Nagoya Grampus

Chinen (54')
Cavric (41')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kashima Antlers and Nagoya Grampus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kashima Antlers

All competitions

Last Game: Okayama 1-2 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, April 20 at 6am in J1 League

Goals
for

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions

Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Hiroshima
Sunday, April 20 at 6am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 41.9%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kashima Antlers in this match.

Result
Kashima Antlers	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
41.9% ( -0.48)	27.46% ( 0.16)	30.65% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 48.34% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.92% (

-0.48)

57.08% (

0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.04% (

-0.39)

77.96% (

0.39)

Kashima Antlers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.13% (

-0.48)

26.87% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.82% (

-0.64)

62.18% (

0.64)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.1% (

-0.01)

33.9% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.43% (

-0.02)

70.57% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Kashima Antlers 41.9%

Nagoya Grampus 30.65%

Draw 27.45%

Kashima Antlers	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 11.97% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.01% Total : 41.9%	1-1 @ 12.94% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.11% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.45%	0-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 7% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.35% Total : 30.65%