Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.