J1 League | Gameweek 5

Mar 8, 2025 at 7am UK

SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium

Reysol
1 - 3
Kashima Antlers

Kubo (57', 57')
Kumasaka (55'), Kumasaka (55')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Ceara (26', 26', 50', 50', 62', 62')
Higuchi (69'), Higuchi (69')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kashiwa Reysol and Kashima Antlers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kashiwa Reysol

All competitions

Last Game: Urawa 0-2 Reysol
Sunday, March 2 at 6am in J1 League

Goals
for

Kashima Antlers

All competitions

Last Game: Kashima Antlers 2-0 FC Tokyo
Saturday, March 1 at 5am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.

Result
Kashiwa Reysol	Draw	Kashima Antlers
33.33% ( -0.14)	27.77% ( 0.43)	38.9% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 48.23% (

-1.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.4% (

-1.63)

57.6% (

1.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.63% (

-1.31)

78.37% (

1.32)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.72% (

-0.92)

32.28% (

0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.22% (

-1.06)

68.78% (

1.07)

Kashima Antlers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.21% (

-0.95)

28.79% (

0.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.36% (

-1.2)

64.64% (

1.2)

Score Analysis

Kashiwa Reysol 33.32%

Kashima Antlers 38.9%

Draw 27.77%

Kashiwa Reysol	Draw	Kashima Antlers
1-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.72% Total : 33.32%	1-1 @ 13.08% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.57) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.77%	0-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.42) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.71% Total : 38.9%