J1 League Gameweek 8
Apr 2, 2025 11.00am
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT KINCHO Stadium
  • Thiago Andrade 3' goal
  • Rafael Ratao 45'+3' goal
  • goal Ryunosuke Sato 44'
  • yellowcard Kota Kudo 45'+2'

Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions
Last game
Mar 28, 2025 10.00am
Cerezo 1 - 1 Urawa
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Rafael Ratao

Fagiano Okayama

All competitions
Last game
Mar 29, 2025 3.55am
Okayama 1 - 0 Yokohama
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Takaya Kimura

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Fagiano Okayama had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Fagiano Okayama win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.

Result

Cerezo Osaka 41.01% (-0.01)
Draw 26% (-0.01)
Fagiano Okayama 32.99% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.67% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.35% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 50.64% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 27.45% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 72.55% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 12.94% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 87.05% (-0.03)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 75.59% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 24.4% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 41.17% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 58.82% (-0.03)

Fagiano Okayama Goals

Over 0.5 70.99% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 29% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 35.09% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 64.9% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Cerezo Osaka 41.01%
Draw 25.99%
Fagiano Okayama 32.99%
Cerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 9.98% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.71% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.04% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.1% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.31%
3-2 @ 2.54% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.44% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 41.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.35% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.08% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.39% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.99%
Fagiano Okayama
0-1 @ 8.76% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.65% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.42% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.16% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.24% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.23% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 32.99%