J1 League | Gameweek 8
Apr 2, 2025 at 11am UK
KINCHO Stadium

Cerezo
2 - 1
Okayama

Andrade (3'), Ratao (45+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Sato (44')
Kudo (45+2')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Fagiano Okayama.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions
Last Game: Cerezo 1-1 Urawa
Friday, March 28 at 10am in J1 League

Fagiano Okayama

All competitions
Last Game: Okayama 1-0 Yokohama
Saturday, March 29 at 3.55am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Fagiano Okayama had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Fagiano Okayama win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawFagiano Okayama
41.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)26% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)32.99% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.67% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.35% (0.033999999999999 0.03)50.64% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.45% (0.029 0.03)72.55% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.59% (0.013000000000005 0.01)24.4% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.17% (0.020999999999994 0.02)58.82% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Fagiano Okayama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.99% (0.021000000000001 0.02)29% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.09% (0.028000000000006 0.03)64.9% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 41.01%
    Fagiano Okayama 32.99%
    Draw 25.99%
Cerezo OsakaDrawFagiano Okayama
1-0 @ 9.98% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.71% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 7.04% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.31%
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 41.01%
1-1 @ 12.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.08% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 8.76% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.65% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 5.42% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.16% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 2.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 32.99%