J1 League | Gameweek 9

Apr 6, 2025 at 7am UK

Kashima Soccer Stadium

Kashima Antlers
3 - 4
Kyoto Sanga

Ceara (18', 18', 30', 30'), Morooka (90+2', 90+2')
Matsumura (64'), Matsumura (64'), Matsumura (65'), Matsumura (65')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Okugawa (61', 61'), Elias (80', 80', 82', 82', 90+5', 90+5')
Hara (7'), Hara (7'), Fukuoka (16'), Fukuoka (16'), Appiah Tawiah (19'), Appiah Tawiah (19'), Pedro Mendes Santos (47'), Pedro Mendes Santos (47'), Ota (90+10'), Ota (90+10')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kashima Antlers and Kyoto Sanga.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kashima Antlers

All competitions

Last Game: Hiroshima 1-0 Kashima Antlers
Wednesday, April 2 at 11am in J1 League

Goals
for

Kyoto Sanga

All competitions

Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 1-1 Reysol
Wednesday, April 2 at 11am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Kashima Antlers	Draw	Kyoto Sanga
43.29% ( -0.23)	27.16% ( 0.27)	29.55% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 48.71% (

-0.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.63% (

-1.01)

56.37% (

1.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.61% (

-0.82)

77.39% (

0.83)

Kashima Antlers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.19% (

-0.57)

25.81% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.22% (

-0.78)

60.78% (

0.79)

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.65% (

-0.56)

34.34% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.95% (

-0.61)

71.05% (

0.61)

Score Analysis

Kashima Antlers 43.28%

Kyoto Sanga 29.55%

Draw 27.16%

Kashima Antlers	Draw	Kyoto Sanga
1-0 @ 12% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.21% Total : 43.28%	1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.16%	0-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.25% Total : 29.55%