Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.