Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 50.65%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 23.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 1-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 1-0 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.