J1 League | Gameweek 11

Apr 20, 2025 at 6am UK

City Light Stadium

Okayama
1 - 2
Kashima Antlers

Sato (43', 43')
Kudo (19'), Kudo (19'), Fujita (75'), Fujita (75'), Garcia de Oliveira (90+8'), Kamiya (90+7'), Garcia de Oliveira (90+8'), Kamiya (90+7')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Chinen (21'), Cavric (50', 50'), Talles (73', 73')
Tsukui (45+6'), Tsukui (45+6')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Fagiano Okayama and Kashima Antlers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fagiano Okayama

All competitions

Last Game: Hiroshima 0-1 Okayama
Saturday, April 12 at 6am in J1 League

Goals
for

Kashima Antlers

All competitions

Last Game: Cerezo 1-0 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, April 12 at 7am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Fagiano Okayama had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Fagiano Okayama win was 1-0 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.

Result
Fagiano Okayama	Draw	Kashima Antlers
27.27% ( 0.07)	26.46% ( 0.02)	46.27% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 49.36% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.14% (

-0.05)

54.85% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.85% (

-0.04)

76.15% (

0.04)

Fagiano Okayama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.68% (

0.03)

35.32% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.92% (

0.03)

72.08% (

-0.03)

Kashima Antlers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.32% (

-0.07)

23.67% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.22% (

-0.09)

57.78% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Fagiano Okayama 27.27%

Kashima Antlers 46.26%

Draw 26.45%

Fagiano Okayama	Draw	Kashima Antlers
1-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.05% Total : 27.27%	1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.45%	0-1 @ 12.04% 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.68% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 46.26%