Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 37.65%. A win for Fagiano Okayama had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Fagiano Okayama win was 1-0 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.