J1 League | Gameweek 9
Apr 6, 2025 at 5am UK
City Light Stadium

Okayama
1 - 0
FC Tokyo

Matsumoto (47'), Tabei (61', 61')
Fujii (41'), Fujii (41')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hashimoto (18'), Hashimoto (18')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Fagiano Okayama and FC Tokyo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fagiano Okayama

All competitions
Last Game: Cerezo 2-1 Okayama
Wednesday, April 2 at 11am in J1 League

FC Tokyo

All competitions
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 2-2 FC Tokyo
Wednesday, April 2 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 37.65%. A win for Fagiano Okayama had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Fagiano Okayama win was 1-0 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Fagiano OkayamaDrawFC Tokyo
35.25% (0.144 0.14)27.1% (-0.634 -0.63)37.65% (0.492 0.49)
Both teams to score 50.53% (1.976 1.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.18% (2.47 2.47)54.82% (-2.469 -2.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.87% (2.004 2)76.13% (-2.003 -2)
Fagiano Okayama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.37% (1.319 1.32)29.63% (-1.319 -1.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.32% (1.574 1.57)65.68% (-1.574 -1.57)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.82% (1.49 1.49)28.18% (-1.49 -1.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.12% (1.849 1.85)63.88% (-1.849 -1.85)
Score Analysis
    Fagiano Okayama 35.24%
    FC Tokyo 37.64%
    Draw 27.1%
Fagiano OkayamaDrawFC Tokyo
1-0 @ 10.15% (-0.62 -0.62)
2-1 @ 7.82% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 6.18% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-1 @ 3.17% (0.172 0.17)
3-0 @ 2.51% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.186 0.19)
4-1 @ 0.96% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 35.24%
1-1 @ 12.86% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-0 @ 8.35% (-0.833 -0.83)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.293 0.29)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27.1%
0-1 @ 10.57% (-0.58 -0.58)
1-2 @ 8.15% (0.197 0.2)
0-2 @ 6.7% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.44% (0.22 0.22)
0-3 @ 2.83% (0.082 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.203 0.2)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 37.64%

rhs 2.0


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