J1 League | Gameweek 11

Apr 20, 2025 at 7am UK

Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka (Hiratsuka)

Shonan Bellmare
0 - 1
Reysol

Onose (27'), Onose (27')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kakita (48', 48')
Yamada (52'), Yamada (52')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Shonan Bellmare and Kashiwa Reysol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shonan Bellmare

All competitions

Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 2-0 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, April 12 at 8am in J1 League

Goals
for

Kashiwa Reysol

All competitions

Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-1 Reysol
Friday, April 11 at 11am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 46.7%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Kashiwa Reysol in this match.

Result
Shonan Bellmare	Draw	Kashiwa Reysol
26.9% ( -0.68)	26.39% ( -1.05)	46.7% ( 1.72)

Both teams to score 49.3% (

2.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.19% (

3.46)

54.81% (

-3.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.89% (

2.79)

76.11% (

-2.79)

Shonan Bellmare Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.41% (

1.33)

35.59% (

-1.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.64% (

1.34)

72.36% (

-1.34)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.55% (

2.37)

23.45% (

-2.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.54% (

3.33)

57.45% (

-3.33)

Score Analysis

Shonan Bellmare 26.9%

Kashiwa Reysol 46.7%

Draw 26.39%

Shonan Bellmare	Draw	Kashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.88) 2-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.04) Other @ 2% Total : 26.9%	1-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.36) 0-0 @ 8.35% ( -1.19) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.35) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.39%	0-1 @ 12.1% ( -0.8) 1-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.36) 0-2 @ 8.78% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.39% ( 0.46) 0-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.3) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.31) 1-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.26) 0-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.2) Other @ 2.73% Total : 46.7%