J1 League | Gameweek 12

Apr 26, 2025 at 6am UK

SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium

Reysol
1 - 1
Albirex Niigata

Watai (32')
Naruse (13')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Komi (14' pen.)

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kashiwa Reysol and Albirex Niigata.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kashiwa Reysol

All competitions

Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-1 Reysol
Sunday, April 20 at 7am in J1 League

Goals
for

Albirex Niigata

All competitions

Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-2 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, April 19 at 6am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 37.02%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (11.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
Kashiwa Reysol	Draw	Albirex Niigata
37.02% ( -0.19)	28.91% ( 0.29)	34.06% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 45.05% (

-0.82)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.42% (

-1)

61.58% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.57% (

-0.75)

81.42% (

0.75)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.09% (

-0.63)

31.9% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.65% (

-0.72)

68.35% (

0.72)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.15% (

-0.59)

33.85% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.48% (

-0.65)

70.51% (

0.64)

Score Analysis

Kashiwa Reysol 37.02%

Albirex Niigata 34.05%

Draw 28.9%

Kashiwa Reysol	Draw	Albirex Niigata
1-0 @ 12.33% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.84% Total : 37.02%	1-1 @ 13.36% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.9%	0-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.39% Total : 34.05%