J1 League | Gameweek 11

Apr 19, 2025 at 6am UK

Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata
1 - 2
Kyoto Sanga

Yamura (19' pen., 19' pen.)

FT(HT: 2-0)

Elias (72', 72'), Okugawa (86', 86')
Yonemoto (41'), Yonemoto (41'), Matsuda (46'), Matsuda (46')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and Kyoto Sanga.

Form, Standings, Stats

Albirex Niigata

All competitions

Last Game: Albirex Niigata 0-0 Yokohama FC
Sunday, April 13 at 6am in J1 League

Goals
for

Kyoto Sanga

All competitions

Last Game: Urawa 2-1 Kyoto Sanga
Wednesday, April 16 at 11.30am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 39.89%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Albirex Niigata	Draw	Kyoto Sanga
39.89% ( 0.01)	25.44%	34.67% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 55.94% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.11% (

47.89% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.93% (

70.07% (

-0)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.24% (

23.75% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.1% (

0.01)

57.9% (

-0.01)

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.37% (

-0)

26.63% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.13% (

-0.01)

61.87% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Albirex Niigata 39.89%

Kyoto Sanga 34.67%

Draw 25.44%

Albirex Niigata	Draw	Kyoto Sanga
1-0 @ 9.09% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.54% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.14% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.13% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.13% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2% Total : 39.89%	1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 6.33% 2-2 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.44%	0-1 @ 8.37% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.54% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.52% 0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 3.17% Total : 34.67%