J1 League | Gameweek 20

Apr 16, 2025 at 11.30am UK

National Olympic Stadium

Urawa
2 - 1
Kyoto Sanga

Matsuo (24'), Watanabe (61')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Elias (55')
Sugai (87')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Urawa Red Diamonds and Kyoto Sanga.

Form, Standings, Stats

Urawa Red Diamonds

All competitions

Last Game: Machida Zelvia 0-2 Urawa
Sunday, April 13 at 6am in J1 League

Goals
for

Kyoto Sanga

All competitions

Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 2-0 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, April 12 at 8am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 42.05%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.

Result
Urawa Red Diamonds	Draw	Kyoto Sanga
42.05% ( 0.03)	25.15% ( 0.01)	32.79% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 56.41% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.94% (

-0.05)

47.05% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.7% (

-0.05)

69.29% (

0.05)

Urawa Red Diamonds Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.68% (

-0.01)

22.31% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.21% (

-0.01)

55.78% (

0.01)

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.62% (

-0.05)

27.38% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.15% (

-0.06)

62.84% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Urawa Red Diamonds 42.05%

Kyoto Sanga 32.79%

Draw 25.15%

Urawa Red Diamonds	Draw	Kyoto Sanga
1-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.45% 3-0 @ 3.44% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 42.05%	1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.15%	0-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.69% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.13% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 32.79%