J1 League | Gameweek 15

May 7, 2025 at 11am UK

Machida Athletic Stadium

Machida Zelvia
1 - 2
Kyoto Sanga

Heroki Mochizuki (39')
Shoji (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hiraga (72'), Fukuda (90+5')
Fukuda (32'), Nagasawa (65')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Machida Zelvia and Kyoto Sanga.

Form, Standings, Stats

Machida Zelvia

All competitions

Last Game: Kashima Antlers 1-0 Machida Zelvia
Saturday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League

Goals
for

Kyoto Sanga

All competitions

Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 2-3 Cerezo
Saturday, May 3 at 11am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Machida Zelvia	Draw	Kyoto Sanga
41.7% ( 0.59)	27.35% ( 0.05)	30.95% ( -0.65)

Both teams to score 48.78% (

-0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.42% (

-0.4)

56.58% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.44% (

-0.32)

77.55% (

0.32)

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.25% (

0.13)

26.74% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.98% (

0.17)

62.02% (

-0.18)

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.59% (

-0.67)

33.41% (

0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.96% (

-0.74)

70.04% (

0.74)

Score Analysis

Machida Zelvia 41.69%

Kyoto Sanga 30.95%

Draw 27.34%

Machida Zelvia	Draw	Kyoto Sanga
1-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.05% Total : 41.69%	1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.34%	0-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.45% Total : 30.95%