J1 League | Gameweek 13

Apr 29, 2025 at 7am UK

KINCHO Stadium

Cerezo
1 - 2
Machida Zelvia

Andrade (90+6', 90+6')
Kagawa (52'), Kagawa (52')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Oh (49', 49'), Dresevic (78', 78')
Mae (19'), Mae (19'), Fujio (26'), Fujio (26'), Dresevic (90+2'), Dresevic (90+2')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Machida Zelvia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions

Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 1-0 Cerezo
Friday, April 25 at 11am in J1 League

Goals
for

Machida Zelvia

All competitions

Last Game: Machida Zelvia 0-1 Shonan Bellmare
Friday, April 25 at 11am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Machida Zelvia
41.75% ( -0.03)	26.65% ( 0.02)	31.59% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 51.11% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.28% (

-0.06)

53.72% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.8% (

-0.05)

75.2% (

0.05)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.59% (

-0.04)

25.41% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.78% (

-0.06)

60.22% (

0.06)

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.52% (

-0.02)

31.48% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.13% (

-0.02)

67.87% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Cerezo Osaka 41.74%

Machida Zelvia 31.6%

Draw 26.65%

Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Machida Zelvia
1-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.51% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 41.74%	1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.65%	0-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 31.6%