J1 League | Gameweek 12
Apr 25, 2025 at 11am UK
Machida Athletic Stadium

Machida Zelvia
0 - 1
Shonan Bellmare


Shoji (86'), Soma (89'), Soma (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ikeda (90+3')
Suzuki (7')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Machida Zelvia and Shonan Bellmare.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vissel Kobe 1-0 Machida Zelvia
Sunday, April 20 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-1 Reysol
Sunday, April 20 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Machida ZelviaDrawShonan Bellmare
41.08% (0.00099999999999767 0)28.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)30.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 45.27% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.11% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)60.89% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.09% (-0.029 -0.03)80.91% (0.032000000000011 0.03)
Machida Zelvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.86% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)29.14% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.93% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)65.07% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.88% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)36.11% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.1% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)72.9% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Machida Zelvia 41.08%
    Shonan Bellmare 30.39%
    Draw 28.51%
Machida ZelviaDrawShonan Bellmare
1-0 @ 12.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 41.08%
1-1 @ 13.21%
0-0 @ 10.52% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.51%
0-1 @ 10.71% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.73% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 5.46%
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 30.39%

Head to Head
Aug 11, 2024 10am
Gameweek 26
Machida Zelvia
0-1
Shonan Bellmare

Na (40'), Dresevic (90+1')
Ikeda (48')
Onose (82')
May 11, 2024 7am
Gameweek 13
Shonan Bellmare
0-0
Machida Zelvia
Oiwa (27'), Ikeda (33'), Tanaka (42')
Shibato (32'), Suzuki (74'), Duke (90')