J1 League | Gameweek 12

Apr 25, 2025 at 11am UK

Ajinomoto Stadium

Tokyo Verdy
1 - 0
Cerezo

Arai (33')
Fukuda (1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Tokyo Verdy and Cerezo Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tokyo Verdy

All competitions

Last Game: Kawasaki 0-0 Tokyo Verdy
Sunday, April 20 at 7am in J1 League

Goals
for

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions

Last Game: Cerezo 1-1 FC Tokyo
Sunday, April 20 at 7am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Tokyo Verdy win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Tokyo Verdy	Draw	Cerezo Osaka
29.89% ( -0.02)	25.36% ( -0.01)	44.75% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 54.42% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.93% (

0.03)

49.08% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.85% (

0.02)

71.15% (

-0.02)

Tokyo Verdy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.69%

30.31% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.51% (

-0)

66.49% (

0.01)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.09% (

0.03)

21.92% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.82% (

0.04)

55.18% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Tokyo Verdy 29.89%

Cerezo Osaka 44.74%

Draw 25.36%

Tokyo Verdy	Draw	Cerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.18% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.73% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.86% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.88% ( -0) Other @ 3.14% Total : 29.89%	1-1 @ 12.03% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.36%	0-1 @ 10.08% 1-2 @ 9.14% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.65% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.62% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.87% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.75% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.47% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 44.74%