Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Tokyo Verdy win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.