J1 League | Gameweek 14

May 3, 2025 at 7am UK

Kashima Soccer Stadium

Kashima Antlers
1 - 0
Machida Zelvia

Tagawa (39', 39')
Kim (53'), Kim (53'), Cavric (87'), Cavric (87')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kashima Antlers and Machida Zelvia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kashima Antlers

All competitions

Last Game: Yokohama FC 0-3 Kashima Antlers
Tuesday, April 29 at 6am in J1 League

Goals
for

Machida Zelvia

All competitions

Last Game: Cerezo 1-2 Machida Zelvia
Tuesday, April 29 at 7am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.89%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kashima Antlers in this match.

Result
Kashima Antlers	Draw	Machida Zelvia
39.23% ( 2.01)	28.84% ( -0.35)	31.93% ( -1.66)

Both teams to score 44.88% (

0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.39% (

0.93)

61.61% (

-0.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.55% (

0.68)

81.45% (

-0.68)

Kashima Antlers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.43% (

1.71)

30.57% (

-1.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.2% (

1.98)

66.79% (

-1.98)

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.64% (

-0.69)

35.36% (

0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.88% (

-0.72)

72.12% (

0.72)

Score Analysis

Kashima Antlers 39.23%

Machida Zelvia 31.93%

Draw 28.82%

Kashima Antlers	Draw	Machida Zelvia
1-0 @ 12.81% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.44) 3-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 3% ( 0.3) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.27% Total : 39.23%	1-1 @ 13.31% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 10.8% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.82%	0-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.62) 1-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.44) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 31.93%