Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.89%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kashima Antlers in this match.