J1 League | Gameweek 14
May 3, 2025 at 11am UK
Sanga Stadium by Kyocera (Kameoka)

Kyoto Sanga
2 - 3
Cerezo

Hara (12'), Matsuda (14')
Sugai (4'), Pedro Mendes Santos (24'), (24')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Fernandes (18'), Furuyama (43'), Nakajima (65')
Fukui (81')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kyoto Sanga and Cerezo Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kyoto Sanga

All competitions
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 2-1 Kyoto Sanga
Tuesday, April 29 at 7am in J1 League

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions
Last Game: Cerezo 1-2 Machida Zelvia
Tuesday, April 29 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.

Result
Kyoto SangaDrawCerezo Osaka
32.19% (0.553 0.55)25.09% (-0.323 -0.32)42.72% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)
Both teams to score 56.41% (1.31 1.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.03% (1.605 1.61)46.97% (-1.605 -1.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.78% (1.478 1.48)69.22% (-1.479 -1.48)
Kyoto Sanga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.28% (1.15 1.15)27.72% (-1.152 -1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.72% (1.453 1.45)63.28% (-1.454 -1.45)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.03% (0.57700000000001 0.58)21.96% (-0.578 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.74% (0.86799999999999 0.87)55.26% (-0.869 -0.87)
Score Analysis
    Kyoto Sanga 32.19%
    Cerezo Osaka 42.72%
    Draw 25.09%
Kyoto SangaDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 7.81% (-0.274 -0.27)
2-1 @ 7.6% (0.114 0.11)
2-0 @ 5.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.25% (0.15 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.154 0.15)
3-0 @ 2.14% (0.064 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.04% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 32.19%
1-1 @ 11.84% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-0 @ 6.09% (-0.42 -0.42)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.183 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.098 0.1)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 9.23% (-0.467 -0.47)
1-2 @ 8.97% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 6.99% (-0.228 -0.23)
1-3 @ 4.53% (0.079 0.08)
0-3 @ 3.53% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.91% (0.141 0.14)
1-4 @ 1.72% (0.059 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.34% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 42.72%

Head to Head
Aug 17, 2024 11am
Gameweek 27
Cerezo
3-5
Kyoto Sanga
Bueno (45'), Kitano (79'), Ceara (90+6' pen.)
Elias (12', 56', 65'), Hara (17'), Fukuda (28')
Kaneko (88')
Jun 1, 2024 11am
Gameweek 17
Kyoto Sanga
1-1
Cerezo
Matsuda (55')
Ceara (33')
Nishio (19'), Capixaba (68')
Nov 25, 2023 5am
Gameweek 33
Cerezo
0-1
Kyoto Sanga
Hara (20')
Sato (90+8')
May 14, 2023 5.30am
Gameweek 13
Kyoto Sanga
0-1
Cerezo
Wakahara (26' og.)
Oct 29, 2022 7am
Gameweek 33
Kyoto Sanga
0-0
Cerezo