J1 League Gameweek 14
May 3, 2025 11.00am
2
3
HT : 2 2
FT Sanga Stadium by Kyocera (Kameoka)
  • Hidehiro Sugai 4' yellowcard
  • Taichi Hara 12' goal
  • Temma Matsuda 14' goal
  • Joao Pedro Mendes Santos 24' yellowcard
  • 24' yellowcard
  • goal Lucas Fernandes 18'
  • goal Kengo Furuyama 43'
  • goal Motohiko Nakajima 65'
  • yellowcard Koki Fukui 81'

Kyoto Sanga vs Cerezo Osaka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kyoto Sanga

All competitions
Last game
Apr 29, 2025 7.00am
Gamba Osaka 2 - 1 Kyoto Sanga
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Rafael Elias

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions
Last game
Apr 29, 2025 7.00am
Cerezo 1 - 2 Machida Zelvia
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Rafael Ratao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.

Result

Kyoto Sanga 32.19% (+0.56)
Draw 25.09% (-0.33)
Cerezo Osaka 42.72% (-0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.41% (+1.32)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.03% (+1.61)
Under 2.5 46.97% (-1.61)
Over 3.5 30.78% (+1.48)
Under 3.5 69.22% (-1.48)
Over 4.5 15.21% (+1.03)
Under 4.5 84.78% (-1.03)

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5 72.28% (+1.15)
Under 0.5 27.72% (-1.16)
Over 1.5 36.72% (+1.46)
Under 1.5 63.28% (-1.46)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 78.03% (+0.58)
Under 0.5 21.96% (-0.58)
Over 1.5 44.74% (+0.87)
Under 1.5 55.26% (-0.87)

Score analysis

Kyoto Sanga 32.19%
Draw 25.09%
Cerezo Osaka 42.72%
Kyoto Sanga
1-0 @ 7.81% (-0.28)
2-1 @ 7.6% (+0.12)
2-0 @ 5.01% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.25% (+0.15)
3-2 @ 2.46% (+0.16)
3-0 @ 2.14% (+0.07)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-95.26)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 32.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.84% (-0.20)
0-0 @ 6.09% (-0.42)
2-2 @ 5.76% (+0.19)
3-3 @ 1.24% (+0.10)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.09%
Cerezo Osaka
0-1 @ 9.23% (-0.47)
1-2 @ 8.97% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.99% (-0.23)
1-3 @ 4.53% (+0.08)
0-3 @ 3.53% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.91% (+0.15)
1-4 @ 1.72% (+0.06)
0-4 @ 1.34% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.1% (+0.08)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 42.72%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 27
Aug 17, 2024 11.00am
3
5
HT : 1 3
FT Yanmar Stadium Nagai
  • Vitor Bueno 45' goal
  • Sota Kitano 79' goal
  • Leo Ceara 90'+6' goal
  • goal Rafael Elias 12'
  • goal Taichi Hara 17'
  • goal Shinnosuke Fukuda 28'
  • goal Rafael Elias 56'
  • goal Rafael Elias 65'
  • yellowcard Daiki Kaneko 88'
J1 League Gameweek 17
Jun 1, 2024 11.00am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Kyoto Nishikyogoku Stadium
  • Temma Matsuda 55' goal
  • yellowcard Ryuya Nishio 19'
  • goal Leo Ceara 33'
  • yellowcard Capixaba 68'
J1 League Gameweek 33
Nov 25, 2023 5.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Yanmar Stadium Nagai
  • goal Taichi Hara 20'
  • yellowcard Kyo Sato 90'+8'
J1 League Gameweek 13
May 14, 2023 5.30am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Kyōto Nishikyogoku Stadium
  • goal Tomoya Wakahara 26' (OG)
J1 League Gameweek 33
Oct 29, 2022 7.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 2
Feb 26, 2022 5.00am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Takashi Inui 48' goal
  • Ryuya Nishio 84' yellowcard
  • Koji Toriumi 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Kosuke Taketomi 34'
  • yellowcard Holneiker Mendes Marreiros 73'
  • yellowcard Mendes 73'