Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.

Result
Gamba Osaka	Draw	Kyoto Sanga
40.41% ( -0.28)	25.51% ( -0.01)	34.07% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 55.58% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.7% (

0.09)

48.3% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.55% (

0.09)

70.44% (

-0.08)

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.33% (

-0.1)

23.66% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.23% (

-0.14)

57.77% (

0.14)

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.81% (

0.22)

27.18% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.41% (

0.28)

62.59% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Gamba Osaka 40.41%

Kyoto Sanga 34.07%

Draw 25.5%

Gamba Osaka	Draw	Kyoto Sanga
1-0 @ 9.27% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.72% 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 40.41%	1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.5%	0-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.87% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.02% Total : 34.07%