J1 League | Gameweek 12

Apr 25, 2025 at 11.30am UK

Ajinomoto Stadium

FC Tokyo
3 - 0
Gamba Osaka

Tawaratsumida (86', 90+4' og.), Ko (90'), Kishimoto (90+4' og.)
Oka (7')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the J1 League clash between FC Tokyo and Gamba Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Tokyo

All competitions

Last Game: Cerezo 1-1 FC Tokyo
Sunday, April 20 at 7am in J1 League

Goals
for

Gamba Osaka

All competitions

Last Game: Yokohama FC 1-1 Gamba Osaka
Sunday, April 20 at 6am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
FC Tokyo	Draw	Gamba Osaka
29.45% ( -0.16)	27.21% ( -0.23)	43.33% ( 0.39)

Both teams to score 48.5% (

0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.39% (

0.76)

56.61% (

-0.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.41% (

0.61)

77.58% (

-0.6)

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.45% (

0.28)

34.54% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.74% (

0.29)

71.26% (

-0.29)

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.09% (

0.55)

25.9% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.1% (

0.74)

60.89% (

-0.73)

Score Analysis

FC Tokyo 29.45%

Gamba Osaka 43.33%

Draw 27.21%

FC Tokyo	Draw	Gamba Osaka
1-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.21% Total : 29.45%	1-1 @ 12.84% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.21%	0-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 8.16% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.91% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.18% Total : 43.33%