J1 League Gameweek 16
May 10, 2025 8.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium
  • Koki Kumasaka 74' yellowcard
  • Mao Hosoya 76' goal
  • Diego 90' goal
  • yellowcard Ibuki Fujita 67'

Kashiwa Reysol vs Fagiano Okayama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kashiwa Reysol

All competitions
Last game
May 6, 2025 8.00am
Reysol 1 - 0 Shimizu S-Pulse
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Mao Hosoya

Fagiano Okayama

All competitions
Last game
May 6, 2025 7.00am
Nagoya Grampus 0 - 0 Okayama
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Takaya Kimura

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 48.47%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Fagiano Okayama had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Fagiano Okayama win it was 0-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashiwa Reysol would win this match.

Result

Kashiwa Reysol 48.47% (+0.13)
Draw 27.93% (-0.03)
Fagiano Okayama 23.6% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.44% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 37.76% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 62.24% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 18.08% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 81.91% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 7.26% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 92.74% (-0.01)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5 74.09% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 25.91% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 39.1% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 60.9% (-0.09)

Fagiano Okayama Goals

Over 0.5 57.28% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 42.71% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 20.95% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 79.05% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Kashiwa Reysol 48.46%
Draw 27.92%
Fagiano Okayama 23.6%
Kashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 14.94% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 10.09% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.59% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.54% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.87% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.64% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.53% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.31% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 48.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.71% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 11.06% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.65% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 27.92%
Fagiano Okayama
0-1 @ 9.41% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 5.41% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 23.6%