Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 48.47%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Fagiano Okayama had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Fagiano Okayama win it was 0-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashiwa Reysol would win this match.