J1 League Gameweek 15
May 6, 2025 7.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Minato Soccer Stadium
  • yellowcard Hiroto Iwabuchi 12'
  • yellowcard Ryunosuke Sato 82'

Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2025 6.00am
Shimizu S-Pulse 0 - 3 Nagoya Grampus
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Sho Inagaki

Fagiano Okayama

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2025 7.00am
Vissel Kobe 2 - 0 Okayama
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Takaya Kimura

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Fagiano Okayama had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Fagiano Okayama win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result

Nagoya Grampus 38.91% (+0.24)
Draw 27.32% (-0.06)
Fagiano Okayama 33.77% (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.66% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.17% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 55.83% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 23.05% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 76.95% (-0.17)
Over 4.5 10.14% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 89.86% (-0.10)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5 72.07% (+0.24)
Under 0.5 27.93% (-0.23)
Over 1.5 36.44% (+0.30)
Under 1.5 63.56% (-0.29)

Fagiano Okayama Goals

Over 0.5 68.91% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 31.08% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 32.59% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 67.41% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Nagoya Grampus 38.91%
Draw 27.31%
Fagiano Okayama 33.76%
Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 11.07% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.25% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 7.06% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.51% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.05% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.12% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 38.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.93% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 8.68% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 4.82% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.31%
Fagiano Okayama
0-1 @ 10.14% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 7.56% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.93% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.94% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.31% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.88% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 33.76%