J1 League | Gameweek 15
May 6, 2025 at 7am UK
Minato Soccer Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
0 - 0
Okayama

FT

Iwabuchi (12'), Sato (82')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Fagiano Okayama.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions
Last Game: Shimizu S-Pulse 0-3 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League

Fagiano Okayama

All competitions
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 2-0 Okayama
Saturday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Fagiano Okayama had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Fagiano Okayama win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawFagiano Okayama
38.91% (0.233 0.23)27.32% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)33.77% (-0.172 -0.17)
Both teams to score 49.66% (0.14899999999999 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.17% (0.205 0.2)55.83% (-0.202 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.05% (0.164 0.16)76.95% (-0.163 -0.16)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.07% (0.23 0.23)27.93% (-0.228 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.44% (0.291 0.29)63.56% (-0.29 -0.29)
Fagiano Okayama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.91% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)31.08% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.59% (-0.012 -0.01)67.41% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 38.91%
    Fagiano Okayama 33.76%
    Draw 27.31%
Nagoya GrampusDrawFagiano Okayama
1-0 @ 11.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.25% (0.039 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.06% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.51% (0.039 0.04)
3-0 @ 3% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 38.91%
1-1 @ 12.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.68% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.82% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.31%
0-1 @ 10.14% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 7.56% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.93% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.94% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.31% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.0079999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 33.76%