J1 League | Gameweek 13
Apr 29, 2025 at 6am UK
City Light Stadium

Okayama
0 - 1
Tokyo Verdy


Tabei (20'), Tabei (20')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tsunashima (66', 66')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Fagiano Okayama and Tokyo Verdy.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Okayama
Friday, April 25 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 1-0 Cerezo
Friday, April 25 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tokyo Verdy win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Fagiano Okayama had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tokyo Verdy win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.76%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Fagiano Okayama win was 1-0 (11.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tokyo Verdy in this match.

Result
Fagiano OkayamaDrawTokyo Verdy
31.82% (0.013000000000002 0.01)29.2% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)38.98% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 43.88% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.18% (0.040999999999997 0.04)62.82% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.66% (0.030000000000001 0.03)82.33% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Fagiano Okayama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.9% (0.032000000000004 0.03)36.1% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.12% (0.033000000000001 0.03)72.88% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Tokyo Verdy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.67% (0.019999999999996 0.02)31.33% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.31% (0.024000000000001 0.02)67.69% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Fagiano Okayama 31.82%
    Tokyo Verdy 38.97%
    Draw 29.19%
Fagiano OkayamaDrawTokyo Verdy
1-0 @ 11.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.81% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 5.87% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.99% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.34% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 31.82%
1-1 @ 13.37%
0-0 @ 11.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 29.19%
0-1 @ 13.12% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.76% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 7.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.95%
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 38.97%

rhs 2.0


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