J1 League | Gameweek 14
May 3, 2025 at 7am UK
NOEVIR Stadium Kobe

Vissel Kobe
2 - 0
Okayama

Miyashiro (51', 51'), Ideguchi (73', 73')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Vissel Kobe and Fagiano Okayama.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vissel Kobe

All competitions
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 1-0 Machida Zelvia
Sunday, April 20 at 6am in J1 League

Fagiano Okayama

All competitions
Last Game: Okayama 0-1 Tokyo Verdy
Tuesday, April 29 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 53.9%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Fagiano Okayama had a probability of 21.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Fagiano Okayama win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.

Result
Vissel KobeDrawFagiano Okayama
53.9% (1.453 1.45)24.51% (-0.746 -0.75)21.59% (-0.71 -0.71)
Both teams to score 49.44% (1.27 1.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.07% (2.137 2.14)51.92% (-2.142 -2.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.33% (1.819 1.82)73.67% (-1.824 -1.82)
Vissel Kobe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.8% (1.418 1.42)19.2% (-1.423 -1.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.11% (2.293 2.29)50.88% (-2.298 -2.3)
Fagiano Okayama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.19% (0.503 0.5)38.81% (-0.508 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.45% (0.473 0.47)75.54% (-0.477 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Vissel Kobe 53.88%
    Fagiano Okayama 21.59%
    Draw 24.5%
Vissel KobeDrawFagiano Okayama
1-0 @ 12.29% (-0.51 -0.51)
2-0 @ 10.14% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.171 0.17)
3-0 @ 5.58% (0.263 0.26)
3-1 @ 5.28% (0.318 0.32)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.183 0.18)
4-0 @ 2.3% (0.204 0.2)
4-1 @ 2.18% (0.219 0.22)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 53.88%
1-1 @ 11.63% (-0.32 -0.32)
0-0 @ 7.45% (-0.657 -0.66)
2-2 @ 4.55% (0.142 0.14)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 24.5%
0-1 @ 7.05% (-0.516 -0.52)
1-2 @ 5.51% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.34% (-0.195 -0.2)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.43% (0.064 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.05% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 21.59%

rhs 2.0


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