J1 League Gameweek 16
May 11, 2025 5.05am
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Iwagin Stadium
  • Koya Kitagawa 66' goal
  • Koya Kitagawa 66' goal
  • Douglas Tanque 84' goal
  • Douglas Tanque 84' goal
  • goal Takuma Nishimura 21'
  • goal Takuma Nishimura 21'
  • goal Kotaro Hayashi 66'
  • goal Kotaro Hayashi 66'

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Machida Zelvia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Shimizu S-Pulse

All competitions
Last game
May 6, 2025 8.00am
Reysol 1 - 0 Shimizu S-Pulse
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Koya Kitagawa

Machida Zelvia

All competitions
Last game
May 7, 2025 11.00am
Machida Zelvia 1 - 2 Kyoto Sanga
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Takuma Nishimura

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Shimizu S-Pulse win was 1-0 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result

Shimizu S-Pulse 31.58% (+0.20)
Draw 28.51% (-0.01)
Machida Zelvia 39.91% (-0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.69% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.44% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 60.55% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 19.34% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 80.66% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 7.96% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 92.04% (-0.03)

Shimizu S-Pulse Goals

Over 0.5 64.94% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 35.06% (-0.18)
Over 1.5 28.2% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 71.8% (-0.19)

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 0.5 70.35% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 29.64% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 34.31% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 65.69% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Shimizu S-Pulse 31.58%
Draw 28.5%
Machida Zelvia 39.91%
Shimizu S-Pulse
1-0 @ 10.89% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 6.94% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 5.71% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 2.43% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.48% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 31.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.24%
0-0 @ 10.39% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.22% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.5%
Machida Zelvia
0-1 @ 12.63% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 8.05% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 7.68% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 3.26% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.11% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.71% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 39.91%