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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 78.03%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for had a probability of 8.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.17%), while for a win it was 1-2 (2.58%).
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Willem II |
| 78.03% | 13.51% | 8.45% |
| Both teams to score 53.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.36% | 29.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.24% | 50.76% |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.92% | 6.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.89% | 23.11% |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.68% | 43.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.44% | 79.55% |
| Score Analysis |
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Willem II |
| 2-0 @ 10.32% 3-0 @ 9.64% 2-1 @ 8.64% 3-1 @ 8.07% 1-0 @ 7.38% 4-0 @ 6.75% 4-1 @ 5.65% 5-0 @ 3.78% 3-2 @ 3.38% 5-1 @ 3.17% 4-2 @ 2.36% 6-0 @ 1.77% 6-1 @ 1.48% 5-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 4.32% Total : 78.03% | 1-1 @ 6.17% 2-2 @ 3.62% 0-0 @ 2.63% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.15% Total : 13.51% | 1-2 @ 2.58% 0-1 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 1.01% 0-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.74% Total : 8.45% |