Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%).