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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%).
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 31% | 23.54% | 45.45% |
| Both teams to score 61.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.67% | 40.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.29% | 62.7% |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.79% | 25.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.05% | 59.95% |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.95% | 18.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.05% | 48.95% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 7.4% 1-0 @ 6.27% 2-0 @ 4.32% 3-1 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 2.91% 3-0 @ 1.98% 4-1 @ 1.17% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.56% Total : 31% | 1-1 @ 10.73% 2-2 @ 6.33% 0-0 @ 4.55% 3-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.54% | 1-2 @ 9.19% 0-1 @ 7.79% 0-2 @ 6.67% 1-3 @ 5.25% 0-3 @ 3.81% 2-3 @ 3.61% 1-4 @ 2.25% 0-4 @ 1.63% 2-4 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.72% Total : 45.45% |