Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-0 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.