Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 56.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 18.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Gil Vicente |
56.94% | 24.59% | 18.47% |
Both teams to score 44.67% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.15% | 55.85% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.03% | 76.97% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.47% | 19.53% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.57% | 51.43% |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.51% | 44.48% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.48% | 80.52% |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 14.18% 2-0 @ 11.58% 2-1 @ 9.39% 3-0 @ 6.31% 3-1 @ 5.11% 4-0 @ 2.58% 4-1 @ 2.09% 3-2 @ 2.07% Other @ 3.63% Total : 56.92% | 1-1 @ 11.49% 0-0 @ 8.69% 2-2 @ 3.8% Other @ 0.61% Total : 24.59% | 0-1 @ 7.04% 1-2 @ 4.66% 0-2 @ 2.85% 1-3 @ 1.26% 2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.65% Total : 18.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
11 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
16 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |