Champions League

Champions League | Round of 16

Feb 17, 2021 at 8pm UK

Estádio do Dragão

Porto
2 - 1
Juventus

Taremi (2'), Marega (46')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Chiesa (82')
de Ligt (63'), Danilo (81'), Demiral (87'), Sandro (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Porto and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Juventus win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Porto in this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Juventus
49.32%	22.69%	27.99%

Both teams to score 62.31%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.89%

38.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.62%

60.37%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.26%

15.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.16%

44.84%

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.95%

26.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.91%

61.08%

Score Analysis

Porto 49.32%

Juventus 27.99%

Draw 22.69%

Porto	Draw	Juventus
2-1 @ 9.43% 1-0 @ 7.58% 2-0 @ 7.01% 3-1 @ 5.81% 3-0 @ 4.32% 3-2 @ 3.91% 4-1 @ 2.69% 4-0 @ 2% 4-2 @ 1.81% 5-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.79% Total : 49.32%	1-1 @ 10.19% 2-2 @ 6.34% 0-0 @ 4.1% 3-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.69%	1-2 @ 6.86% 0-1 @ 5.51% 0-2 @ 3.71% 1-3 @ 3.08% 2-3 @ 2.84% 0-3 @ 1.66% 1-4 @ 1.04% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.33% Total : 27.99%

How you voted: Porto vs Juventus

Porto

12.0%

Draw

15.1%

Juventus

72.9%