Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 34

May 3, 2021 at 8.15pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
1 - 2
West Ham

Wood (19' pen.)
Mee (85'), Berg Gudmundsson (87')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Antonio (21', 29')
Dawson (86')

Reaction

West Ham United's Michail Antonio celebrates scoring their second goal against Burnley in the Premier League on May 3, 2021

David Moyes "a little bit surprised" by Michail Antonio at Burnley

Michail Antonio was playing his first game in a month after a hamstring problem.

May 3, 22:41

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 45.26%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 27.77% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	West Ham United
27.77%	26.97%	45.26%

Both teams to score 48.24%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.52%

56.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.53%

77.47%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.21%

35.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.43%

72.56%

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.13%

24.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.52%

59.47%

Score Analysis

Burnley 27.77%

West Ham United 45.26%

Draw 26.96%

Burnley	Draw	West Ham United
1-0 @ 9.15% 2-1 @ 6.54% 2-0 @ 4.7% 3-1 @ 2.24% 3-0 @ 1.61% 3-2 @ 1.56% Other @ 1.98% Total : 27.77%	1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 8.9% 2-2 @ 4.55% Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.96%	0-1 @ 12.38% 1-2 @ 8.86% 0-2 @ 8.62% 1-3 @ 4.11% 0-3 @ 4% 2-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 1.43% 0-4 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.37% Total : 45.26%