Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 38

May 23, 2021 at 4pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
3 - 1
West Brom

Rodrigo (17'), Phillips (42'), Bamford (79' pen.)
Cooper (1'), Phillips (90+4')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Robson-Kanu (90')
Gallagher (23')

Reaction

Leeds United manager Marcelo Bielsa on May 8, 2021.

Marcelo Bielsa "satisfied" with Leeds United's season

The Whites said farewell to two club heroes.

May 23, 18:25

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a West Bromwich Albion win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	West Bromwich Albion
57.52%	22.18%	20.3%

Both teams to score 54.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.21%

43.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.82%

66.18%

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.03%

14.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.59%

43.41%

West Bromwich Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.52%

35.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.75%

72.24%

Score Analysis

Leeds United 57.51%

West Bromwich Albion 20.3%

Draw 22.18%

Leeds United	Draw	West Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 9.93% 2-0 @ 9.58% 3-1 @ 6.28% 3-0 @ 6.06% 3-2 @ 3.26% 4-1 @ 2.98% 4-0 @ 2.88% 4-2 @ 1.55% 5-1 @ 1.13% 5-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.69% Total : 57.51%	1-1 @ 10.45% 0-0 @ 5.31% 2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.18%	0-1 @ 5.51% 1-2 @ 5.42% 0-2 @ 2.85% 1-3 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.78% 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.9% Total : 20.3%