Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for Kawasaki Frontale had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.