Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kyoto Sanga win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kyoto Sanga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 (10.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
