J1 League | Gameweek 33

Oct 5, 2024 at 7am UK

Ajinomoto Stadium

FC Tokyo
1 - 1
Sagan Tosu

Ko (82')
Kimoto (60')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ryan (9'), Slivka (73')
Harada (54'), Kim (65')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between FC Tokyo and Sagan Tosu.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Tokyo

All competitions

Last Game: Yokohama 1-3 FC Tokyo
Saturday, September 28 at 9am in J1 League

Goals
for

Sagan Tosu

All competitions

Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, September 28 at 11am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 52.81%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 23.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result
FC Tokyo	Draw	Sagan Tosu
52.81% ( -0.15)	23.39% ( 0.1)	23.8% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 55.7% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.02% (

-0.42)

44.97% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.67% (

-0.4)

67.33% (

0.4)

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.99% (

-0.21)

17.01% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.86% (

-0.37)

47.14% (

0.36)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.11% (

-0.2)

32.88% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.54% (

-0.21)

69.46% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

FC Tokyo 52.81%

Sagan Tosu 23.8%

Draw 23.38%

FC Tokyo	Draw	Sagan Tosu
1-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.04% Total : 52.81%	1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.38%	0-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.13% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 23.8%