Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23

Feb 3, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stade Felix Bollaert

Lens
2 - 2
Marseille

Sotoca (46'), Medina (61')
Fofana (43'), Doucoure (48'), Medina (63'), Jean (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Thauvin (37'), Milik (45+2')
Lirola (60'), Gonzalez (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Lens	Draw	Marseille
41.02%	27.13%	31.85%

Both teams to score 49.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.49%

55.51%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.31%

76.69%

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.38%

26.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.15%

61.85%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.77%

32.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.28%

68.72%

Score Analysis

Lens 41.01%

Marseille 31.85%

Draw 27.13%

Lens	Draw	Marseille
1-0 @ 11.35% 2-1 @ 8.51% 2-0 @ 7.51% 3-1 @ 3.75% 3-0 @ 3.32% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.11% Total : 41.01%	1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.58% 2-2 @ 4.82% Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.13%	0-1 @ 9.71% 1-2 @ 7.28% 0-2 @ 5.5% 1-3 @ 2.75% 0-3 @ 2.08% 2-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 2.72% Total : 31.85%

How you voted: Lens vs Marseille

Lens

49.2%

Draw

22.2%

Marseille

28.6%